Officially anxious to stem the recent violence of certain pro-Russian activists in Burkina Faso, Captain Traoré, who has just overthrown Lieutenant-Colonel Damiba, is he delighted with the unexpected support of the oligarch Evgueni Prigojine? It is difficult to sound the heart of a putschist who, for the time being, affirms that any security partnership is possible and that, moreover, he could not be in charge of such political choices, little interested as he is by the exercise of power. While waiting to discover, in the coming days, the place that Ibrahim Traoré will occupy in the new ruling architecture of Burkina Faso, the eager enthusiasm of the founder of the Wagner group passe not unnoticed…
Populist political scientist
One would have thought the recent coming out of Yevgeny Prigojine – the admission that he was one of the founders of the paramilitary group Wagner – almost accidental, but the oligarch seems to have definitively abandoned his legendary discretion. As if to interfere in the Burkinabè crisis, he posted, on the Telegram application, a message as early – two days before the resignation of the Burkinabè president – as long: “I salute and support Captain Ibrahim Traoré. […] On January 24, Lieutenant-Colonel Paul-Henri Sandaogo Damiba took power in the country, under the aegis of the struggle for freedom and justice. However, he failed to live up to the confidence of the young officers, who eventually followed Captain Ibrahim Traore. »
Burkina Faso: who is Ibrahim Traoré, the captain who brought down Damiba?
Almost a journalist, he becomes, over the words, a political scientist – “And now they have done what was necessary” –, even a populist activist: “And they did it only for the good of their people”. The reputedly silent loquacity fuels the idea that the gray eminence of Vladimir Putin’s regime could have played a role in recent developments in Burkina Faso.
Nothing is less sure. If Prigozhin had already drawn up a plan with Traore, it would not be useful to him, today, to outline the strings of it publicly. Conversely, his message of support has everything of the foot that a peddler slips into the door of a potential client.
Moscow’s “secret army” in the land of upright men
In the hours to come, those of the attribution of the levers of Burkinabè power to such civilians or soldiers, the new boss of the Patriotic Movement for Safeguarding and Restoration (MPSR) will have to deal with active public opinion, which could just as give it an ersatz legitimacy that has the effect of a thorn in the side. It is just as much to these physical and virtual crowds as to the Burkinabè captain that Prigojine sends his greetings.
From Mali to Burkina: the sorcerer Macron and the little demons, by François Soudan
While Wagner’s founder has stepped out of the shadows into the light, he has long been interested in African countries that might take up his offers of political influence, media management, resource extraction and regime support. in place, such as Libya, the Central African Republic, or Mali. After the departure of the too timorous Damiba, Prigojine would not be against the establishment of the “secret army” of Moscow in the land of honest men. It remains to obtain the answers to two questions: “What will Ibrahim Traoré be tomorrow? and “What will he do the day after tomorrow ? »